ANAlpesh Nakrani
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The Cost of Being Confidently Wrong

Points of View, Volume IV

A book by Alpesh Nakrani

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Pages
103
Chapters
11
Format
PDF · 17.4 MB
01/Overview

What's in the book

A model that is wrong and sure is more dangerous than one that is wrong and uncertain. Designing for calibrated doubt.

EvalsStrategy
02/Inside the PDF

Table of contents

PDF page
  1. INTIntroduction: The Answer That Sounded Finished9
  2. 01Why Fluency Feels Like Competence15
  3. 02Accuracy, Confidence, Calibration, and Authority22
  4. 03Where Wrong Answers Get Expensive29
  5. 04Why Showing Sources Is Not Enough36
  6. 05Designing the Calibrated Answer43
  7. 06Doubt as a Product Feature51
  8. 07Abstention and Escalation58
  9. 08Measuring Calibration in AI Products66
  10. 09Retrieval Quality as a Confidence Signal73
  11. 10Human Review Theater Versus Real Review80
  12. 11The Economics of Doubt87
  13. ENDConclusion: Doubt Is an Interface for Truth94

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